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2024-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Marist Red Foxes Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% - ✗
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - ✗
Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - ✓

Actual: Harvard Crimson +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marist Red Foxes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Lewis * 35 3-12 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 8 -2 -
Josh Pascarelli * 35 10-16 3-7 1-2 2 3 2 0 0 24 15 -9.6
Jadin Collins-Roberts * 32 5-12 0-2 1-4 3 3 3 0 3 11 5 -10.6
Jackson Price * 20 1-2 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 6 8 -2.9
Jaden Daughtry * 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 4 0 1 7 8 -9.3
Parby Kabamba 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 3 4 -10.1
Jason Schofield 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 1 -0.2
Trace Salton 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Martin Kawa 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -16.1
Caleb Mackrey 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 +2.9
Travis Roberts 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.0

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Hinton * 33 9-12 1-2 8-10 4 1 1 0 1 27 20 +13.6
Thomas Batties Ii * 31 3-7 0-2 2-4 4 1 0 2 0 8 8 +15.6
Chandler Pigge * 27 3-4 0-1 2-2 9 3 1 0 3 8 14 +10.5
Evan Nelson * 23 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 8 5 +17.4
Luca Ace-Nasteski * 21 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 4 +8.4
Austin Hunt 20 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 9 8 +5.1
Tey Barbour 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 +11.2
Dutch Dowdell 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 -4.8
Ben Eisendrath 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -8.0
Xavier Nesbitt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.1
L. Byrne 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2.0
Payton Pitts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Greg Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter