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2024-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers NJIT Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Margin 66.6% 33.4% -3.8 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.7% 41.3% - ✓

Actual: NJIT Highlanders -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Brown * 38 2-9 0-2 3-5 6 0 1 0 4 7 1 +1.0
Dylan Williams * 32 5-9 3-4 4-6 2 1 1 1 3 17 10 +9.0
Augustus Gerhart * 27 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 7 -4.0
Ethan Roberts * 25 4-11 1-5 6-7 3 0 0 0 2 15 5 +3.0
Nick Spinoso * 21 1-3 0-0 5-12 7 3 0 1 1 7 14 -10.0
Johnnie Walter 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 3 5 +4.0
AJ Levine 15 1-4 0-1 0-1 0 1 2 0 0 2 1 -3.0
Michael Zanoni 12 0-4 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 +4.0
George Smith 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0
Niklas Polonowski 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

NJIT Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tariq Francis * 37 6-20 4-12 4-5 3 3 0 0 5 20 1 -
Sebastian Robinson * 37 7-14 1-3 5-6 9 1 1 0 1 20 16 -
Jake Goldberg * 33 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 4 4 -13.0
Jordan Rogers * 24 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 9 12 -3.0
Levi Lawal * 13 1-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 3 5 +5.0
Triston Wennersten 32 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 -5.0
Malachi Arrington 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
Ari Fulton 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +11.0
Walt Andrews Jr. 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 +9.0
John Kelly 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter