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2024-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 77.9% 22.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“
Margin 74.3% 25.7% -5.8 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.6% 17.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.2% 37.8% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Shelstad * 35 6-13 3-7 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 15 10 +0.3
Nate Bittle * 33 10-16 0-3 3-4 14 3 0 3 0 23 27 +2.5
Jadrian Tracey * 28 3-8 2-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 10 9 +3.8
Brandon Angel * 26 3-3 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 6 -7.8
TJ Bamba * 23 0-6 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 +9.6
Keeshawn Barthelemy 27 4-7 2-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 10 9 +6.6
Ra'Heim Moss 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -1.1
Kwame Evans Jr. 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 3 -9.3
Supreme Cook 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -0.4
Jamari Phillips 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mookie Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damarco Minor * 36 3-13 2-4 1-2 7 3 2 0 1 9 7 -0.3
Michael Rataj * 34 7-16 3-6 3-3 10 3 1 2 2 20 18 -3.5
Parsa Fallah * 25 4-8 0-0 3-5 3 4 0 0 2 11 8 +11.0
Isaiah Sy * 25 1-6 0-5 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 6 5 +7.5
Nate Kingz * 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -2.2
Liutauras Lelevicius 23 4-6 1-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 13 7 -2.6
Josiah Lake II 21 3-5 2-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 9 4 -5.0
Matthew Marsh 12 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 +5.0
Maxim Logue 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -11.6

* = starter