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2024-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +21 (82-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayton Conerway * 33 2-13 0-3 3-4 8 5 3 0 2 7 8 -20.2
Myles Rigsby * 31 6-12 0-3 3-3 0 2 3 0 4 15 4 -
Marcus Rigsby Jr. * 26 4-10 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 9 4 -
Thomas Dowd * 21 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 8 3 -12.0
Jackson Fields * 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 0 +2.0
Jerrell Bellamy 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 2 2 5 8 -9.3
Coo. Campbell 18 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 4 -13.2
Theo Seng 17 3-8 0-5 1-1 6 0 0 1 0 7 6 -0.5
Victor Valdes 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -14.6
Kerrington Kiel 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.2
Jackson Porch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Braydon Whitaker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Kameryn Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Shelstad * 27 0-4 0-4 0-0 6 6 1 0 2 0 7 +20.8
Jadrian Tracey * 26 3-9 0-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 6 4 +19.5
Brandon Angel * 24 4-6 1-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 10 4 +8.3
Nate Bittle * 23 5-10 0-2 2-2 8 2 1 3 4 12 12 +9.0
TJ Bamba * 20 4-8 1-2 4-4 2 3 2 0 1 13 11 +11.2
Keeshawn Barthelemy 26 4-6 3-4 4-4 0 2 0 0 1 15 10 +19.1
Supreme Cook 14 4-5 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 0 0 11 11 +15.0
Kwame Evans Jr. 12 3-5 0-1 0-1 5 1 1 0 2 6 6 +13.7
Jamari Phillips 11 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 2 -7.8
Mookie Cook 11 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 +0.4
James Cooper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.8
Luke Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8
Jayson Williams-Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1.9
Drew Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter