Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.2 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Collin Holloway * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Jaden Brownell * | 27 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +9.1 |
| Trey Fort * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Julian Brown * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +19.1 |
| Lukas Walls | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -8.6 |
| Josh Holloway | 18 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Riley Allenspach | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah West | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -17.1 |
| Larry Olayinka | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins * | 29 | 10-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | +8.9 |
| Frankie Fidler * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -18.9 |
| Szymon Zapala * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -5.1 |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +17.2 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 30 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Jase Richardson | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +8.1 |
| Coen Carr | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Carson Cooper | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -13.0 |
| Xavier Booker | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +16.8 |
| Kur Teng | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter