Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +24 (81-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins * | 36 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -11.5 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. * | 32 | 7-22 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | -13.5 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -11.0 |
| Madison Durr * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Chris Morgan * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Jordan Meka | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -13.1 |
| Justin Ray | 15 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Aric Demings | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Andrew Ball | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.7 |
| Dok Muordar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lucas Orchard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Sam Fagan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Jack Leahy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Corey Miller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Quinn Peters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins * | 27 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 28 | +13.2 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Frankie Fidler * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Xavier Booker * | 19 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | +7.5 |
| Szymon Zapala * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -4.9 |
| Coen Carr | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +23.4 |
| Jase Richardson | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +13.0 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Tre Holloman | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.5 |
| Kur Teng | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Gehrig Normand | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Nick Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter