Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melannie Daley | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Taylor Williams | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Caileigh Walsh | 30 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Casey Harter | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Xamiya Walton | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Caroline Lau | 19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Grace Sullivan | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Kyla Jones | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Kat Righeimer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Mercy Ademusayo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Bryant | 37 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +2.4 |
| K. Bostic | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 22 | +2.1 |
| B. Shoup-Hill | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +2.2 |
| B. Wallace | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +0.4 |
| A. McKenzie | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +2.7 |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Cori Allen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| H. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
* = starter