Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +36 (74-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashunda Jones | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -2.4 |
| McKenna Layden | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Destini Lombard | 26 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -1.2 |
| Kendall Puryear | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Ella Collier | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Sophie Swanson | 18 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | -2.2 |
| Reagan Bass | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Amiyah Reynolds | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Lana McCarthy | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Jordyn Poole | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Mahri Petree | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brown-Hagger | 29 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | +3.2 |
| B. Wallace | 27 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +0.9 |
| G. Bryant | 25 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +3.2 |
| B. Shoup-Hill | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.2 |
| A. McKenzie | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +3.4 |
| K. Bostic | 23 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +3.0 |
| Cori Allen | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.7 |
| H. Smith | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.5 |
| I. Noya Catoira | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.4 |
| M. Zenere | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
* = starter