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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
ELO 95.9% 4.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 92.0% 8.0% - βœ“
Margin 99.5% 0.5% -29.0 βœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 85.7% 14.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% - βœ“
KenPom Style 56.1% 43.9% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - βœ—

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -34 (49-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Aarnisalo 27 1-4 -2 - 3 7 1 2 7
L. Jones 25 3-7 3-5 - 1 2 1 9 4
L. Betts 22 5-8 - 7-9 7 1 1 1 1 17 18
A. Dugalić 21 3-6 - - 6 3 1 2 1 6 11
G. Jaquez 20 2-5 1-3 - 5 1 1 5 7
J. Barker 18 5-10 -1 1-1 4 1 2 11 4
K. Rice 17 5-7 1-2 - 4 2 1 11 11
T. Gardiner 16 6-8 4-5 - 1 2 16 7
K. Dudley 15 3-3 - - 3 1 6 7
A. Cain 10 -2 -2 - 2 0
Z. Socka-Nguemen 9 -2 - - 3 2 -1

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
D. Lombard 33 6-11 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 16 8
R. Jones 29 2-6 -1 4-4 3 7 2 1 3 8 12
M. Layden 27 3-7 2-5 - 4 1 1 8 7
E. Collier 25 -1 - - 4 1 2 2
R. Bass 23 1-4 -1 2-2 2 1 4 3
L. McCarthy 15 1-3 - -1 2 3 2 -2
S. Swanson 15 2-8 2-5 - 1 1 6 0
M. Petree 14 1-6 -2 - 1 2 -5
K. Puryear 13 1-3 - 1-2 1 2 1 3 2
A. Reynolds 6 -2 -1 - 3 -5

* = starter