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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% -
Points Off/Def 25.4% 74.6% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 38 8-19 1-5 11-11 7 1 0 1 4 28 14 -10.2
J. Mullins 36 3-5 0-2 1-1 2 2 3 1 1 7 9 -11.3
T. Berry 35 3-7 2-4 2-4 1 2 0 0 0 10 6 -9.6
K.J. Windham 27 2-10 1-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 7 1 -10.1
M. Nicholson 23 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 2 1 5 8 +2.7
J. Clayton 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 +4.1
L. Hunger 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.2
A. Ciaravino 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3
K. Fitzmorris 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -7.4

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice 38 4-11 1-5 2-3 3 4 0 0 2 11 5 +12.1
J. Reese 34 4-10 0-0 11-13 11 1 1 2 1 19 23 +11.9
D. Queen 31 3-7 0-0 4-5 10 1 0 2 5 10 11 -1.7
J. Gillespie 31 5-10 3-4 4-4 4 2 4 0 3 17 14 +2.7
S. Miguel 26 3-11 3-7 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 11 5 -1.4
J. Geronimo 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 5 +16.0
D. Harris-Smith 14 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +12.5
J. Young 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +5.5
M. Palmer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
T. Gapare 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
B. Murphy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
L. Sotell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter