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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 โœ— (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 60.7% 39.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Micah Parrish 38 6-11 3-7 4-6 4 1 3 2 3 19 15 -1.0
Devin Royal 37 5-11 2-5 1-3 6 1 0 0 2 13 7 -8.1
Bruce Thornton 35 2-11 1-4 4-4 7 4 2 0 2 9 9 +4.5
John Mobley Jr. 34 3-11 1-8 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 7 -2 -13.3
Sean Stewart 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 0 3 10 +7.4
Aaron Bradshaw 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 3 -8.7
Ques Glover 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 +2.8
Evan Mahaffey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +2.3
Colin White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.3

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Leal 35 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 2 1 4 13 +4.1
Trey Galloway 34 6-15 3-7 1-2 2 6 0 0 2 16 7 +6.3
Luke Goode 32 1-7 1-6 8-10 8 0 1 1 0 11 14 -0.6
Mackenzie Mgbako 31 1-4 0-2 5-8 5 0 0 0 1 7 7 +10.6
Oumar Ballo 24 4-9 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 1 1 9 8 -7.6
Malik Reneau 22 5-10 0-0 6-6 5 1 1 1 2 16 12 +11.6
Myles Rice 20 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 0 +0.8
Kanaan Carlyle 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -6.1

* = starter