Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 40 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| T. Kaufman-Renn | 35 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 12 | +3.3 |
| F. Loyer | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | -3.1 |
| C.J. Cox | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +10.3 |
| C. Furst | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10.1 |
| C. Heide | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +17.8 |
| M. Colvin | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.8 |
| G. Harris | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +1.1 |
| R. Burgess | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jakucionis | 38 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +3.9 |
| W. Riley | 37 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +4.4 |
| T. White | 35 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +2.3 |
| K. Boswell | 29 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +3.0 |
| T. Ivisic | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | -6.7 |
| B. Humrichous | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -1.5 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.7 |
| J. Davis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
* = starter