Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Richardson | 33 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | -1.1 |
| Jaden Akins | 32 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Tre Holloman | 28 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | -0.7 |
| Coen Carr | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +6.8 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Frankie Fidler | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Carson Cooper | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Szymon Zapala | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Xavier Booker | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.7 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dix | 38 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Payton Sandfort | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Pryce Sandfort | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Drew Thelwell | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Seydou Traore | 20 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Even Brauns | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +14.0 |
| Ladji Dembele | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Brock Harding | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Riley Mulvey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.4 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter