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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.5% 35.5% -
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gillespie 39 2-11 2-8 2-2 7 5 1 0 2 8 8 +5.1
D. Queen 38 5-13 0-0 7-11 12 1 2 1 1 17 19 +9.1
R. Rice 38 6-14 4-9 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 19 8 +3.4
S. Miguel 34 7-13 3-7 0-0 2 1 4 0 1 17 10 +16.6
J. Reese 25 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 3 2 3 6 6 -7.9
J. Geronimo 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 6 +13.1
J. Young 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
D. Harris-Smith 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.8
T. Gapare 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Goldin 36 8-17 0-1 4-4 15 3 0 0 3 20 18 -0.6
T. Donaldson 36 4-10 2-3 0-0 3 6 2 0 3 10 8 +0.6
N. Burnett 31 3-8 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 8 6 +1.5
D. Wolf 29 9-13 2-3 0-3 8 4 0 0 5 20 14 +5.3
W. Tschetter 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -10.4
R. Gayle Jr. 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -6.0
R. Jones 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -0.5
L.J. Cason 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -8.2
J. Pippen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -5.2

* = starter