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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 โœ“ (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.0% 92.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +29 (100-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ace Bailey 31 5-13 1-6 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 12 0 +5.6
Dylan Harper 24 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 13 8 +4.0
Tyson Acuff 22 2-5 1-3 0-1 1 3 0 0 0 5 4 +4.3
Jeremiah Williams 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 4 0 +3.7
Lathan Sommerville 20 3-6 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 9 5 +0.2
Zach Martini 19 3-5 2-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 9 10 +2.1
Dylan Grant 19 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -0.3
Jamichael Davis 16 1-4 0-1 1-4 3 2 0 0 1 3 3 +0.4
PJ Hayes IV 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.5
Emmanuel Ogbole 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 +2.8
Jordan Derkack 5 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -0.2
Bryce Dortch 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -0.1

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braden Smith 32 7-15 7-13 2-2 5 9 2 0 3 23 21 -
Caleb Furst 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 2 9 -1.5
C.J. Cox 26 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -1.2
Trey Kaufman-Renn 26 8-10 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 1 2 16 17 -5.4
Fletcher Loyer 23 8-13 7-12 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 23 15 -3.7
Gicarri Harris 17 4-7 2-4 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 11 7 -0.0
Myles Colvin 15 2-8 2-6 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 -1.6
Camden Heide 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1.8
Raleigh Burgess 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 +1.5
Will Berg 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 +0.1
Brian Waddell 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 +0.2
Sam King 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.2
Josh Furst 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Jack Lusk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Jace Rayl 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter