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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Galloway 31 7-14 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 16 6 +0.4
Oumar Ballo 30 5-7 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 1 2 10 15 -6.5
Malik Reneau 27 4-12 0-1 0-3 6 1 0 3 0 8 6 -3.2
Myles Rice 26 1-7 1-5 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 4 0 -4.9
Luke Goode 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 6 3 -10.8
Anthony Leal 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 4 9 -3.0
Mackenzie Mgbako 20 2-10 2-5 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 8 5 -3.7
Kanaan Carlyle 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 -1.9

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Shelstad 33 5-13 2-7 5-6 2 0 1 0 2 17 5 +6.5
TJ Bamba 31 5-13 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 1 1 13 6 +7.1
Nate Bittle 31 3-10 0-2 8-8 7 6 1 4 1 14 21 +7.3
Keeshawn Barthelemy 25 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 7 8 -0.4
Brandon Angel 21 1-4 0-2 2-2 8 0 0 1 1 4 8 +5.4
Jadrian Tracey 19 2-5 0-2 2-3 3 0 0 1 1 6 4 +15.8
Kwame Evans Jr. 19 4-6 2-4 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 10 13 +5.6
Ra'Heim Moss 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3.7
Supreme Cook 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Mookie Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter