Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Johnson | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Dylan Andrews | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -8.0 |
| Skyy Clark | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Tyler Bilodeau | 24 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Sebastian Mack | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +8.9 |
| Aday Mara | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +2.3 |
| Lazar Stefanovic | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Trent Perry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| William Kyle III | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 39 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +2.6 |
| Justin Mullins | 35 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Ty Berry | 34 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | -5.6 |
| Matthew Nicholson | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.1 |
| K.J. Windham | 28 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +3.6 |
| Jordan Clayton | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
* = starter