Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -20 (73-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 37 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 17 | +11.5 |
| Will Riley | 36 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 33 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +18.7 |
| Tre White | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | +10.3 |
| Ben Humrichous | 24 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 18 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Jake Davis | 9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +9.3 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Carey Booth | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.9 |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Kutcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson | 31 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -13.3 |
| Vladislav Goldin | 30 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | -6.7 |
| Nimari Burnett | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Danny Wolf | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Will Tschetter | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -12.0 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -11.2 |
| L.J. Cason | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Rubin Jones | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Justin Pippen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.2 |
| P. Brooks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Ian Burns | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter