Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dix | 34 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Drew Thelwell | 33 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -5.9 |
| Payton Sandfort | 30 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brock Harding | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Ladji Dembele | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 18 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Even Brauns | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Seydou Traore | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Riley Mulvey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 39 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +7.6 |
| Ty Berry | 39 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +10.5 |
| Justin Mullins | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +6.2 |
| K.J. Windham | 27 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +8.2 |
| Matthew Nicholson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | +1.2 |
| Jordan Clayton | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Luke Hunger | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.4 |
* = starter