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2025-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% -
Margin 8.8% 91.2% +12.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Log Adjusted 10.0% 90.0% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bailey 36 6-12 1-4 0-0 9 3 1 1 2 13 13 -1.3
D. Harper 34 7-13 1-4 2-5 4 1 3 0 2 17 10 +4.7
J. Williams 28 3-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 5 0 1 8 8 -0.2
L. Sommerville 26 5-10 0-0 7-7 3 1 1 0 2 17 10 -0.1
T. Acuff 25 5-11 4-8 2-3 1 2 0 0 0 16 8 +9.8
J. Davis 19 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 +1.4
E. Ogbole 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.1
Z. Martini 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -4.6
D. Grant 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.8
B. Dortch 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1.0
J. Derkack 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Donaldson 37 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 5 9 +1.3
D. Wolf 33 3-9 0-3 2-6 8 4 1 0 2 8 10 +14.2
V. Goldin 33 9-11 0-1 6-8 11 2 0 2 5 24 23 +0.1
N. Burnett 29 6-9 2-5 6-7 4 2 1 0 1 20 17 -0.9
L.J. Cason 27 2-6 0-3 1-3 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -0.4
R. Gayle Jr. 20 1-5 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 +7.7
W. Tschetter 18 6-9 2-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 16 7 -13.5
J. Pippen 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4.6

* = starter