Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins -3 (55-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richardson | 34 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +8.3 |
| J. Akins | 27 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +3.1 |
| C. Cooper | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.4 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 22 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2.8 |
| S. Zapala | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +4.5 |
| T. Holloman | 20 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | +4.0 |
| J. Kohler | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +3.3 |
| X. Booker | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.5 |
| C. Carr | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.1 |
| F. Fidler | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -5.2 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rice | 39 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -4.4 |
| J. Gillespie | 37 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 11-11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -4.5 |
| D. Queen | 36 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -1.0 |
| J. Reese | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -4.6 |
| S. Miguel | 23 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -13.7 |
| D. Harris-Smith | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10.3 |
| J. Geronimo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +2.7 |
| J. Young | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
* = starter