Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +20 (81-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding | 37 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Payton Sandfort | 34 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Josh Dix | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Seydou Traore | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -11.4 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ladji Dembele | 17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Even Brauns | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Chris Tadjo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Riley Mulvey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 38 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Will Riley | 36 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Kylan Boswell | 36 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 34 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | +2.5 |
| Tre White | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Ben Humrichous | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Jake Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
* = starter