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2025-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% -
Points Off/Def 56.6% 43.4% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 36 2-8 1-3 3-4 2 5 1 0 6 8 2 -
F. Loyer 33 6-9 2-2 6-7 3 2 0 0 1 20 15 -10.5
T. Kaufman-Renn 28 4-11 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 9 -1 -11.1
C.J. Cox 26 1-5 0-1 1-2 6 1 3 0 1 3 7 -7.5
M. Colvin 25 4-10 3-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 11 6 +0.9
C. Furst 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -1.9
C. Heide 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -8.8
G. Harris 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.3
R. Burgess 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.3
W. Berg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.9

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Galloway 38 5-10 1-5 4-4 4 9 0 0 2 15 16 +19.6
A. Leal 35 3-4 0-1 2-4 5 4 3 2 0 8 18 +15.2
L. Goode 33 4-9 2-6 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 11 3 +18.4
M. Rice 31 4-12 1-3 3-4 2 1 3 0 0 12 6 +16.7
M. Reneau 24 7-7 0-0 1-1 6 4 1 1 2 15 18 +10.4
O. Ballo 23 5-7 0-0 2-6 5 0 0 1 1 12 10 -3.2
M. Mgbako 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -6.6
K. Carlyle 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -5.3

* = starter