Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Richardson | 33 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +17.0 |
| Tre Holloman | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +23.6 |
| Jaden Akins | 25 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | +6.4 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +9.9 |
| Carson Cooper | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +9.9 |
| Coen Carr | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Szymon Zapala | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Frankie Fidler | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.3 |
| Xavier Booker | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.5 |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Wolf | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -11.0 |
| Vladislav Goldin | 33 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | -14.2 |
| Nimari Burnett | 32 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -14.6 |
| Tre Donaldson | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -27.5 |
| Rubin Jones | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7.6 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Will Tschetter | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Justin Pippen | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +10.3 |
| L.J. Cason | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter