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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 โœ— (27.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -21 (49-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Berry 38 6-12 0-4 3-3 6 1 1 0 1 15 10 +19.6
Nick Martinelli 33 7-15 0-3 4-4 5 0 0 0 3 18 5 +16.3
Matthew Nicholson 31 5-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 2 0 10 11 +10.4
K.J. Windham 29 4-9 2-4 5-5 3 2 0 0 2 15 9 +11.0
Angelo Ciaravino 25 1-2 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 0 6 10 +15.3
Justin Mullins 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 2 3 +3.8
Jordan Clayton 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 2 +7.8
Keenan Fitzmorris 9 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 +8.7
Blake Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton 34 6-12 0-3 1-2 1 4 2 0 2 13 6 -16.2
Micah Parrish 34 5-13 3-9 3-4 1 0 1 0 2 16 3 -16.2
Devin Royal 27 0-4 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 4 4 1 -3.6
Sean Stewart 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 4 8 -8.0
John Mobley Jr. 25 1-8 0-5 2-2 0 2 1 0 3 4 -4 -15.9
Ques Glover 23 2-10 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -3 -3.3
Evan Mahaffey 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -12.9
Colin White 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1
Ivan Njegovan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.7
Austin Parks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

* = starter