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2025-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Margin 61.0% 39.0% -2.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keeshawn Barthelemy 33 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 10 4 -2.7
TJ Bamba 32 4-11 2-3 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 10 8 -0.5
Jackson Shelstad 31 0-7 0-5 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 3 1 -6.0
Nate Bittle 30 8-13 1-3 4-4 10 4 0 3 1 21 24 +0.7
Brandon Angel 23 4-9 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 1 0 10 9 -9.4
Kwame Evans Jr. 17 3-3 1-1 1-1 3 1 1 2 2 8 10 +7.6
Jadrian Tracey 15 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 7 +0.6
Supreme Cook 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
Ra'Heim Moss 9 2-3 1-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 +4.3

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Dix 40 8-15 2-6 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 19 9 +2.5
Payton Sandfort 35 9-16 4-7 3-4 5 5 0 0 1 25 18 -
Pryce Sandfort 28 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
Brock Harding 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 3 -3.9
Even Brauns 23 4-4 0-0 7-9 3 1 0 2 1 15 16 -6.6
Seydou Traore 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 1 2 4 3 +0.8
Drew Thelwell 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 +6.6
Ladji Dembele 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 6 +9.6
Chris Tadjo 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter