Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +21 (95-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Humrichous | 34 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -15.5 |
| Will Riley | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -16.7 |
| Kylan Boswell | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 25 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -10.3 |
| Tre White | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -16.3 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 21 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -10.4 |
| Jake Davis | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Carey Booth | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Kutcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tonje | 31 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 10-12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 20 | +19.9 |
| John Blackwell | 30 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Steven Crowl | 28 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +7.2 |
| Max Klesmit | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +15.7 |
| Kamari McGee | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Carter Gilmore | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Nolan Winter | 17 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +14.5 |
| Xavier Amos | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +7.0 |
| Jack Janicki | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Camren Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Riccardo Greppi | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Markus Ilver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Chris Hodges | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Isaac Gard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter