Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 39 | 7-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Kaufman-Renn | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | -1.6 |
| F. Loyer | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -9.0 |
| C.J. Cox | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -5.2 |
| C. Heide | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +6.9 |
| C. Furst | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.8 |
| G. Harris | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.2 |
| M. Colvin | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.5 |
| W. Berg | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.6 |
| R. Burgess | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richardson | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +11.2 |
| J. Akins | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -4.3 |
| J. Kohler | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +3.7 |
| T. Holloman | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +8.3 |
| C. Carr | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +6.6 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5.3 |
| F. Fidler | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +4.1 |
| C. Cooper | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -2.8 |
| S. Zapala | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +11.7 |
| X. Booker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.0 |
* = starter