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2025-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dylan Harper 31 5-14 2-8 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 13 2 -14.9
Lathan Sommerville 30 6-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 3 0 14 14 -11.9
Ace Bailey 29 4-13 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 -4 -8.7
Dylan Grant 28 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 1 1 8 11 -13.8
Jeremiah Williams 27 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 5 3 -7.9
Jamichael Davis 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 -7.4
Zach Martini 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -7.4
Bryce Dortch 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 4 -3.8
Jordan Derkack 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 -6.9
PJ Hayes IV 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.4
Tyson Acuff 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.7

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Shelstad 34 8-13 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 19 8 +11.8
TJ Bamba 31 4-9 1-2 2-2 4 6 1 0 0 11 13 +17.4
Nate Bittle 28 6-12 2-3 1-2 10 1 1 5 1 15 19 +14.2
Keeshawn Barthelemy 25 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 +7.6
Brandon Angel 24 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 5 5 +9.3
Jadrian Tracey 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 6 6 +14.2
Kwame Evans Jr. 16 2-6 2-3 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 8 8 +10.2
Supreme Cook 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Ra'Heim Moss 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 +8.2

* = starter