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2025-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 โœ— (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Dix 39 11-17 2-6 2-2 4 2 2 1 2 26 16 +23.0
Payton Sandfort 38 7-17 4-11 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 20 11 -
Brock Harding 36 5-10 1-3 2-2 4 7 3 0 1 13 16 +17.4
Seydou Traore 25 2-8 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 4 4 -4.4
Ladji Dembele 21 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 9 9 +18.2
Pryce Sandfort 18 4-8 0-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 10 6 -
Even Brauns 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 +8.0
Riley Mulvey 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 5 -11.4
Carter Kingsbury 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.5

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dylan Harper 29 4-8 0-3 3-4 2 5 1 0 4 11 7 -19.9
Ace Bailey 28 5-10 1-3 2-2 5 4 1 0 3 13 10 -18.6
Jeremiah Williams 27 6-9 1-1 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 13 12 -4.5
Zach Martini 22 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -1.1
Dylan Grant 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 2 4 -0.3
Lathan Sommerville 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 2 1 -10.1
Tyson Acuff 16 4-8 4-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 6 -1.6
PJ Hayes IV 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -11.8
Jordan Derkack 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 0 3 -0.4
Jamichael Davis 11 4-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -8.8
Bryce Dortch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter