Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 40 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 30 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 9 | +7.2 |
| C.J. Cox | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +11.2 |
| Caleb Furst | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +8.8 |
| Camden Heide | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Myles Colvin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Gicarri Harris | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Raleigh Burgess | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Wolf | 37 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | -2.8 |
| Tre Donaldson | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -8.1 |
| Rubin Jones | 28 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -6.8 |
| Vladislav Goldin | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -6.8 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | -6.5 |
| Nimari Burnett | 26 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Will Tschetter | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -4.2 |
| L.J. Cason | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Justin Pippen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter