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2025-02-11

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dylan Andrews 32 3-8 1-3 2-2 1 7 2 0 1 9 10 -0.6
Tyler Bilodeau 32 9-17 7-12 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 25 13 -0.8
Sebastian Mack 29 4-11 0-1 3-5 6 5 2 0 1 11 12 -2.7
Skyy Clark 29 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 9 6 -1.3
Kobe Johnson 23 5-7 2-2 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 14 10 +9.7
Eric Dailey Jr. 21 2-6 1-2 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 5 1 -6.9
Lazar Stefanovic 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2.1
William Kyle III 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 +7.5
Aday Mara 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.2
Trent Perry 5 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 +3.0

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kasparas Jakucionis 37 8-14 3-8 5-6 8 4 0 1 5 24 18 +7.2
Ben Humrichous 35 2-6 2-5 3-4 3 2 1 1 0 9 10 -5.7
Tomislav Ivisic 32 5-8 4-6 2-2 7 3 1 0 4 16 15 +4.2
Will Riley 31 5-11 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 10 3 +0.4
Kylan Boswell 29 1-4 1-4 8-8 4 2 0 0 2 11 11 +8.6
Morez Johnson Jr. 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 8 10 +2.0
Jake Davis 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 2 -2.1
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -3.2

* = starter