Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.2% | 12.8% | -10.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -21 (74-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 37 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 18 | +8.5 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 33 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | +5.7 |
| Ben Humrichous | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | +2.2 |
| Will Riley | 31 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 27 | +1.0 |
| Kylan Boswell | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Jake Davis | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.8 |
| Carey Booth | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Keaton Kutcher | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Tre White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Garcia | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Lu'Cye Patterson | 37 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 13 | -1.0 |
| Femi Odukale | 35 | 8-17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 15 | -3.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Mike Mitchell Jr. | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Brennan Rigsby | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -0.0 |
| Parker Fox | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Frank Mitchell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Trey Edmonds | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Kadyn Betts | 2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Caleb Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.8 |
* = starter