Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad | 34 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | -4.9 |
| Keeshawn Barthelemy | 32 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -3.4 |
| TJ Bamba | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -6.8 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Nate Bittle | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Supreme Cook | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Angel | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Mookie Cook | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ra'Heim Moss | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Richardson | 35 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 22 | +5.2 |
| Jaden Akins | 31 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +22.5 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +5.9 |
| Tre Holloman | 31 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Carson Cooper | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +8.2 |
| Frankie Fidler | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Szymon Zapala | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +8.5 |
| Coen Carr | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Kur Teng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter