Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 39 | 7-18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Devin Royal | 36 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 14 | -4.7 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 34 | 6-21 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Micah Parrish | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Aaron Bradshaw | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.9 |
| Ques Glover | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Evan Mahaffey | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.1 |
| Colin White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 32 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -15.8 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | -1.2 |
| Will Riley | 29 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | +10.3 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Kylan Boswell | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +10.7 |
| Ben Humrichous | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Tre White | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.3 |
| Jake Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
* = starter