Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mgbako | 36 | 10-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | -4.7 |
| A. Leal | 35 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | +1.3 |
| O. Ballo | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | -6.6 |
| L. Goode | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -1.7 |
| T. Galloway | 25 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | -3.4 |
| M. Rice | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -14.6 |
| M. Reneau | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -9.1 |
| B. Tucker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| L. Hatton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +1.6 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 40 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 11 | - |
| F. Loyer | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +13.0 |
| C. Heide | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +10.6 |
| T. Kaufman-Renn | 26 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +23.8 |
| G. Harris | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +3.9 |
| C. Furst | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4.7 |
| C.J. Cox | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +9.5 |
| M. Colvin | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.7 |
| R. Burgess | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11.3 |
* = starter