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2025-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 โœ— (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ace Bailey 35 13-20 5-8 6-6 6 0 0 3 1 37 25 +6.8
Tyson Acuff 29 5-7 1-1 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 13 13 +18.2
Lathan Sommerville 27 3-7 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 0 2 9 6 +2.4
Dylan Grant 26 3-5 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -5.0
Jamichael Davis 26 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 8 3 0 1 7 12 +19.7
Zach Martini 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 5 +17.0
Jeremiah Williams 15 0-1 0-0 3-6 0 2 0 0 1 3 3 -10.3
Bryce Dortch 13 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 0 0 4 +4.8
Jordan Derkack 13 0-1 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -12.4

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Martinelli 40 5-16 1-3 5-7 10 2 0 0 3 16 9 -7.2
Brooks Barnhizer 37 4-12 1-5 1-1 9 6 1 1 3 10 12 -6.4
Jalen Leach 31 8-12 3-5 4-4 0 4 0 0 2 23 13 +4.2
Matthew Nicholson 30 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 8 9 +8.2
Ty Berry 26 3-9 2-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 8 1 -12.7
Angelo Ciaravino 18 1-4 0-2 3-4 3 2 1 3 0 5 10 +5.1
Justin Mullins 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.0
Keenan Fitzmorris 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -8.7
Luke Hunger 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.1

* = starter