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2025-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% -
Bradley-Terry 57.5% 42.5% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +27 (91-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Goldin 31 5-10 0-2 4-4 6 2 1 0 4 14 9 -24.8
T. Donaldson 27 3-6 3-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 6 11 4 -27.3
D. Wolf 25 1-7 0-5 2-2 2 3 1 1 4 4 0 -12.8
N. Burnett 24 3-10 0-4 5-6 5 2 0 0 0 11 8 -19.7
R. Gayle Jr. 21 3-5 1-2 4-4 2 4 0 0 2 11 10 -18.1
R. Jones 20 0-1 0-1 1-2 8 1 2 0 3 1 8 -20.2
W. Tschetter 16 2-5 0-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -22.9
L.J. Cason 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 +0.8
J. Pippen 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.7
S. Walters 9 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -6.5

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 37 10-17 0-4 4-4 7 10 4 0 1 24 27 -
F. Loyer 29 6-13 5-10 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 18 8 +23.4
T. Kaufman-Renn 24 7-12 0-0 1-3 3 3 2 0 2 15 9 +19.8
C. Furst 24 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 6 11 +16.9
C.J. Cox 19 3-4 1-2 4-4 3 0 3 0 0 11 13 +22.3
G. Harris 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 +8.9
M. Colvin 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 1 +12.3
C. Heide 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 +17.8
R. Burgess 14 2-3 2-2 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 6 8 +12.2
W. Berg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
B. Waddell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter