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2025-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 โœ— (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -21 (70-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie 36 6-13 1-4 2-2 3 8 3 1 1 15 16 +16.5
Rodney Rice 35 3-10 1-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 8 2 +26.4
Derik Queen 34 10-13 0-1 5-7 6 4 3 0 3 25 22 +22.7
Selton Miguel 33 5-9 1-2 3-5 2 3 2 0 0 14 12 +19.7
Julian Reese 31 12-23 0-0 3-3 17 1 0 3 1 27 24 +16.9
Tafara Gapare 12 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 +9.9
Jayhlon Young 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +6.3
DeShawn Harris-Smith 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 +0.4
Malachi Palmer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kasparas Jakucionis 36 5-14 0-4 11-12 7 7 0 0 7 21 14 -9.7
Tre White 28 4-10 1-3 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 9 3 -28.2
Ben Humrichous 26 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 0 5 -14.8
Kylan Boswell 25 5-10 1-3 3-4 9 1 0 0 5 14 9 -20.0
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn 22 5-8 2-4 3-4 4 1 1 0 0 15 13 -10.8
Morez Johnson Jr. 19 2-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 1 1 0 5 5 -9.4
Will Riley 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -2.5
Carey Booth 13 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -1.4
Jake Davis 12 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 -1.8
AJ Redd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Keaton Kutcher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9

* = starter