Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Ballo | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -4.6 |
| Luke Goode | 33 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -10.4 |
| Anthony Leal | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Myles Rice | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako | 26 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Trey Galloway | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Kanaan Carlyle | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Malik Reneau | 11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -12.6 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Leach | 39 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 38 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 4-9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | +4.9 |
| Nick Martinelli | 36 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +12.5 |
| Ty Berry | 32 | 8-13 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 21 | +15.4 |
| Matthew Nicholson | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Justin Mullins | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Luke Hunger | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| K.J. Windham | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Blake Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
* = starter