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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ—
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 โœ— (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ—

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dawson Garcia 35 7-15 2-6 4-6 6 2 0 0 3 20 10 +1.9
Femi Odukale 35 5-8 1-1 7-11 8 4 0 1 3 18 20 -2.6
Mike Mitchell Jr. 32 3-14 2-10 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 8 0 -6.8
Lu'Cye Patterson 31 2-9 0-4 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 4 5 -4.4
Isaac Asuma 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -9.2
Frank Mitchell 18 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 1 0 8 13 +6.3
Parker Fox 15 1-2 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 1 2 6 6 -7.0
Brennan Rigsby 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Trey Edmonds 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.1
Kadyn Betts 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3.3

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Dix 38 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 3 3 +5.8
Payton Sandfort 37 7-19 1-8 6-6 10 0 0 2 1 21 13 -
Owen Freeman 32 10-14 0-1 1-3 8 2 1 0 3 21 15 -0.0
Seydou Traore 27 5-8 1-3 0-1 6 0 1 1 0 11 11 +12.5
Brock Harding 21 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 9 1 0 2 9 15 +8.4
Drew Thelwell 20 1-7 0-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 2 -2 -5.2
Pryce Sandfort 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 0 4 -
Ladji Dembele 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.3
Riley Mulvey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.5

* = starter