Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +2 (80-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boswell | 38 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | -12.1 |
| B. Humrichous | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -12.2 |
| T. Ivisic | 28 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -4.1 |
| W. Riley | 26 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | -1.1 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 21 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -15.4 |
| T. White | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14.3 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -1.3 |
| K. Jakucionis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +4.5 |
| J. Davis | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.2 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +14.9 |
| T. Holloman | 23 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +10.8 |
| C. Carr | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +12.8 |
| J. Akins | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +11.8 |
| F. Fidler | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +8.0 |
| J. Kohler | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -0.2 |
| J. Richardson | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +1.2 |
| C. Cooper | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| X. Booker | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.6 |
| S. Zapala | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +8.5 |
* = starter