Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 45 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 42 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 10-13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Ty Berry | 38 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Matthew Nicholson | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | +2.0 |
| Jalen Leach | 27 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +10.3 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Blake Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| K.J. Windham | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Justin Mullins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Blake Barkley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Wolf | 40 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -1.9 |
| Tre Donaldson | 38 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Vladislav Goldin | 38 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 27 | +2.2 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Nimari Burnett | 29 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Rubin Jones | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Will Tschetter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Sam Walters | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.9 |
| Justin Pippen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.6 |
* = starter