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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 49.1% 50.9% +0.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% -
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 40 5-15 0-3 5-6 4 7 4 0 5 15 10 -
F. Loyer 35 2-9 1-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 -1 +9.0
T. Kaufman-Renn 33 7-20 0-0 9-9 11 1 0 0 2 23 13 +4.1
C. Heide 22 2-3 1-1 4-5 4 0 1 0 0 9 11 +6.0
C. Furst 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 +6.0
M. Colvin 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 +7.0
C.J. Cox 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 +4.7
G. Harris 14 0-1 0-1 5-6 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 -0.7
R. Burgess 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 +2.4

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad 37 4-12 3-8 4-4 5 2 2 0 2 15 10 -13.3
N. Bittle 32 5-12 3-9 5-5 2 0 1 6 1 18 14 -4.9
K. Barthelemy 29 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 2 2 -6.5
TJ Bamba 27 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 1 4 0 4 4 0 -8.9
B. Angel 24 4-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 10 9 -0.1
J. Tracey 23 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 5 3 3 -1.8
K. Evans Jr. 19 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -7.9
J. Phillips 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +4.7
S. Cook 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter