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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% - โœ—
Margin 74.2% 25.8% -5.8 โœ— (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 82.0% 18.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% - โœ—

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie 40 5-15 2-6 2-2 2 4 3 0 2 14 6 -9.1
Julian Reese 38 5-13 0-0 13-14 7 0 0 2 3 23 16 -0.6
Selton Miguel 36 2-9 0-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 4 2 +1.9
Derik Queen 33 4-9 0-0 1-1 14 1 0 1 5 9 11 +10.7
Rodney Rice 28 3-9 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 10 2 -0.8
Jayhlon Young 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 0 1 3 7 +7.7
DeShawn Harris-Smith 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -7.9
Tafara Gapare 13 3-5 2-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -7.8
Jordan Geronimo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.2

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Martinelli 45 9-14 1-2 3-4 3 3 0 1 5 22 10 +2.3
Brooks Barnhizer 43 8-17 1-4 3-5 10 5 2 2 5 20 17 +5.7
Jalen Leach 40 3-8 0-1 2-3 4 6 1 1 1 8 11 +7.1
Ty Berry 33 5-13 3-8 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 15 6 +2.4
Matthew Nicholson 22 2-3 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 0 0 5 9 +1.6
Keenan Fitzmorris 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 0 5 +5.5
Angelo Ciaravino 16 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -2.0
K.J. Windham 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -3.8
Blake Barkley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Blake Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter