Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +10 (99-89). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Sandfort * | 35 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Drew Thelwell * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Owen Freeman * | 33 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 18 | -11.0 |
| Josh Dix * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Brock Harding * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ladji Dembele | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Seydou Traore | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Chris Tadjo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Yates III * | 40 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Desmond Claude * | 40 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 21 | +4.3 |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 38 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Saint Thomas * | 37 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 28 | +8.8 |
| Josh Cohen * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Rashaun Agee | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +9.5 |
| Kevin Patton Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
* = starter