Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -25 (69-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 27 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +20.6 |
| Ben Humrichous | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +9.0 |
| Kylan Boswell | 25 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +11.3 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 24 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +22.8 |
| Tre White | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +14.2 |
| Jake Davis | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +11.7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Will Riley | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +18.2 |
| AJ Redd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carey Booth | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Ballo | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | -18.3 |
| Luke Goode | 32 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -13.0 |
| Trey Galloway | 31 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Myles Rice | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako | 25 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Anthony Leal | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -6.4 |
| Kanaan Carlyle | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -19.7 |
| Bryson Tucker | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -15.4 |
| Langdon Hatton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Jakai Newton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter