Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +2.2 |
| J. Akins | 26 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -1.0 |
| J. Richardson | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -1.3 |
| J. Kohler | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +7.5 |
| T. Holloman | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +6.7 |
| S. Zapala | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +2.1 |
| C. Carr | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +7.6 |
| F. Fidler | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +4.4 |
| X. Booker | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
| C. Cooper | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +9.4 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Martinelli | 38 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 9-12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 14 | -5.0 |
| B. Barnhizer | 37 | 2-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -8.8 |
| J. Leach | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +5.1 |
| M. Nicholson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.5 |
| K. Fitzmorris | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0.1 |
| J. Mullins | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| T. Berry | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -10.5 |
| K.J. Windham | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +1.4 |
| A. Ciaravino | 8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4.0 |
| B. Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter