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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 โœ“ (24.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +25 (85-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Rice 36 4-11 1-2 3-4 1 5 1 0 3 12 5 -24.0
Oumar Ballo 24 5-7 0-0 0-1 13 1 0 0 4 10 13 -21.2
Bryson Tucker 23 4-11 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 2 -16.1
Kanaan Carlyle 22 4-12 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 -1 -11.7
Luke Goode 22 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -34.0
Anthony Leal 21 1-1 1-1 0-1 2 5 1 1 0 3 11 +9.8
Trey Galloway 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -5 -17.5
Langdon Hatton 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 8 10 +1.2
Mackenzie Mgbako 16 2-6 0-3 2-3 6 0 0 0 2 6 4 -19.9

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brock Harding 35 4-8 1-2 1-2 4 10 0 0 1 10 15 +28.1
Drew Thelwell 33 4-7 0-1 4-9 3 3 6 0 1 12 16 +27.7
Payton Sandfort 31 7-12 4-9 5-5 6 3 1 1 2 23 20 -
Josh Dix 29 4-8 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 12 7 +11.6
Owen Freeman 27 8-13 0-1 0-2 12 1 3 4 4 16 19 +28.0
Pryce Sandfort 24 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
Ladji Dembele 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -0.6
Seydou Traore 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -11.9
Even Brauns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Carter Kingsbury 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter