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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 80.2% 19.8% -7.7 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -
Points Off/Def 65.3% 34.7% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -18 (50-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 39 6-10 1-4 3-5 3 14 3 1 2 16 25 -
F. Loyer 36 6-14 1-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 13 2 +21.7
C. Furst 32 3-3 0-0 1-3 7 1 1 2 2 7 13 +21.7
C. Heide 22 3-8 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 2 +13.3
T. Kaufman-Renn 20 6-8 0-0 4-8 5 1 0 0 2 16 12 +18.6
C.J. Cox 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 5 +3.4
G. Harris 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 3 5 -1.9
M. Colvin 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 +6.7
R. Burgess 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.0

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bailey 32 5-15 4-9 3-4 7 1 2 1 3 17 10 -18.0
D. Harper 28 2-9 0-3 2-3 6 3 0 1 2 6 5 -15.3
T. Acuff 25 2-7 2-5 4-4 5 3 0 0 0 10 11 -12.1
J. Davis 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -8.7
L. Sommerville 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -8.2
E. Ogbole 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -7.3
J. Derkack 16 1-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -12.6
D. Grant 15 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 -7.4
J. Williams 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 2 -5.6
PJ Hayes IV 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.2

* = starter